The Fragment Air Jordan 3 Will officially release on September the 17th. You can check out the link below if you want to purchase it right away.
Let’s try to figure out the number of pairs that might have been possibly made and the shoe resale value. First let’s take a quick count of the number of stockists allocated an inventory beside Nike.
Local Stockists: Nike (US)only in the US , Bodega ( raffle)
Now we need to establish our assumptions, we’ll have to figure out what would be an acceptable number of pairs per stockist and then we can make an inference on the possible number of pairs produced.
- We’ll assume that each stockist will be given about 200 pairs
- Nike (US) will receive about 1/3 of the total production
- The stockists all combined will receive 1/2 of the inventory Nike (US)will receive
We’ve only been able to find a total of 7 stockists , so based on this data, the inventory allocated to these stockists will be:
Stockists Inventory= 7 x 200= 1400 pairs
Since we’ve assumed that this number represent half of the inventory Nike(US) will acquire then
Nike’s Total= 1400 x 2= 2800 pairs, let’s stretch this number to 3,000 pairs
And since we also assumed that this number represents 1/3 of the global production, then
Total number produced = 3,000 x 3= 9,000 pairs. So I’ll assume that the total number of pairs will fall within the 3,000 pairs < total # of pairs produced < 12,000 pairs.
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Now we’ll try to figure out the current resale value of the Jordan 3 SP White Fragment
The immediate observation we can make is that the shoe has an exorbitant resale value. The chart above is a breakdown of the average resale value of the shoe per day since August the 27th. There are three days that stand out ( 9/2, 9/5 and 9/11) and we’ll consider those days outliers since most of the values fall within the ( $1200,$1350) range. I went ahead and created a liner model with the data above and came up with the following equation:
Resale Value= $24.9 ( time elapsed since August 27) + $1157.9
Based on the model above, we can predict that by September the 17th the resale value will be:
Resale Value= $24.9 ( 20) + $1157.9= $1655.9
But based on reality, I think that the overall resale value will fall within the ($1100-$1400) range. The shoe retails for $200 before tax, so folks can expect their profit margins to fall within the ($790-$1060) and mark ups within the ( 376%-505%). This is definitely worth acquiring for resale purposes. Now let’s take a look at the sizes with the highest revenues.
You can pretty much figure out what sizes yield to the highest revenues, see chart above.
Fragment Air Jordan 3 SP White
- Release Date:09-17-2020
- Style Code:DA3595-100
- Color:White / Black / White
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