The Air Jordan 6 Carmine is officially releasing on February the 13th and will retail for $200. The colorway was originally introduced in 1991 after Michael Jordan captured his very first NBA title with the Chicago Bulls. He wore the Carmine 6 on during the ring ceremony night on November 1st of 1991. The Jordan 6 silhouette was inspired by MJ’s love for German sports cars; this particular colorway is highly coveted in the sneaker community. After its first appearance in 1991, the shoe made a return in 2008 with the CDP ( Countdown package) and in 2014 as well. Both the 2008 and 2014 edition featured a jumpman on the back. With the 2021 Jordan 6 Carmine, Nike went back to the roots and the heel will now be adorned with the “Nike Air” text and swoosh logo on the back. Today we’ll try to figure out how many pairs of the shoe could be possibly made and its resale value. First let’s get a quick count of the major and minor retailers allocated an inventory.
We’ll not include the boutiques in this case since their numbers are not going to affect our estimates that much.
Next, let’s set up our assumptions
We’ll go with the following:
- FTL, FTA & Champs will receive ⅓ of the total inventory
- The remaining major & minor retailers will receive the remaining ⅓
We’ll also add the following assumptions:
- Each FTL will receive about 24 pairs, while FTA and Champs will be assigned 12 pairs per store
- Their online stores will receive about a 1/3 of the total the physical stores are receiving
- Eastbay will also receive another 1/3 from the total FTL, FTA and Champs online are receiving.
- HOH locations will be given about 70 pairs each
Running The Numbers:
FTL Physical stores=830 x 24= 19920 pairs
HOH = 170 x70=11900 pairs
FTA Physical stores=271×12= 3252 pairs
Champs Physical stores= 547x 12=6564 pairs
Online allocation ( FTL + FTA + Champs)=41636/3=13879 pairs
Eastbay= 13879/3=4626 pairs
Total from FTL, FTA, Champs and Eastbay = (19920+ 11900+ 3252+6564+13879+4626) pairs =60141 pairs let’s stretch it to 64000 pairs
We already established that this number represents about 1/3 of the entire production for North America so the grand total would be:
T= 64000 x3=192,000 pairs
Since this number only represents the production for North America, we can conclude that the total number of pairs made would fall within the
200,000 < Number of Possibly Pairs Made< 400,000
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Now let’s about the resale price
Air Jordan 6 Carmine Resell Prediction
The chart above gives you a breakdown of the average resale value of the Carmine 6 by day since the 5th of February. You can clearly see that the shoe is selling for values within the ($280-$300) range. This is a general release sneaker ( almost every shoe retailer is going to get it). I wrote a post in which I established that most GR sneakers lose about 5%to 10% of their original resale value by the time they release officially. I think for the Carmine 6, we might see a 5% drop, which means that the resale value will sit within the ($285-$300) range. Let’s check out the sizes with the highest margins.
Larger sizes ( sz11-14) are yielding to the highest returns ranging from ($312-$352) especially size 14. Sizes 7.5 to 10.5 are pretty consistent to our earlier projection, ( $280-$300). The size with the lowest return was the size 7 at $274. The shoe retails for $212 after tax so folks can expect their profit margins to sit within the ( $40-$100) depending on the size acquired for mark ups within the (19% to 51%). The shoe is definitely going to sell out.
Product Information/ Buy It Now
Air Jordan 6 Retro ‘Carmine’
- Release Date: 2021-02-13
- Style Code:CT8529-106
- Color:White / Black / Carmine
You can buy it now on eBay from our featured sellers via authenticity guaranteed, CLICK HERE
img via air.jordan.com
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