Today we’ll talk about the possible number of pairs of the Air Jordan 5 Oregon made. You can actually purchase the sneaker now, refer to the link below
Let’s quickly take a list of the number of stockists that will be allocated an inventory beside Nike. First let’s recall that last year when the Jordan 5 Michigan dropped, it was believed that Nike only made about 64,000 pairs, so let’s quick this number in mind as we build our assumptions.
We’ll go with the following:
- FTL, FTA & Champs will receive ⅓ of the total inventory
- The remaining major & minor retailers will receive the remaining ⅓
- Boutiques’ numbers can be ignored at this point.
Most FTL, FTA and Champs physical stores are operating on the raffle basis so that gives us an idea of the kind of inventory we can expect, not too many pairs. We’ll also add the following assumptions:
- Each FTL will receive about 24 pairs, while FTA and Champs will be assigned 18 pairs per store
- Their online stores will receive about a 1/3 of the total the physical stores are receiving
- Eastbay will also receive another 1/3 from the total FTL, FTA and Champs online are receiving.
- We’ll also assume 1/3 of FTL( 164+ 170 HOH), FTA (91) and Champs (183) locations will receive an inventory
- HOH locations will be given about 70 pairs each
Running The Numbers:
FTL Physical stores= 164 x 24= 3936 pairs
HOH = 170 x70=11900 pairs
FTA Physical stores=91×18= 1638 pairs
Champs Physical stores= 183 x 18= 3294 pairs
Online allocation ( FTL + FTA + Champs)=20768/3=6923 pairs
Eastbay= 6923/3= 2308 pairs
Total from FTL, FTA, Champs and Eastbay = (20768 + 6923+ 2308) pairs =29999 pairs let’s stretch it to 32,000 pairs
Since we assumed that this number represented ⅓ of the total inventory, the
Grand Total for the USA= 32,000 x 3= 96000 pairs
Since this shoe will be released worldwide I’ll stretch that number and assume the global production will fall within the 96,000 < Total pairs made < 200,000.
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Now let’s talk about the resell prediction
Resale Value of The Jordan 5 Oregon
The chart above gives you a breakdown of the average resale value per day since September the 1st. You can clearly see that the average resale value of the shoe has slowly decreased, it went from $344 to $312 today within 5 days, it lost about $6 a day but there is nothing alarming about this trend. There were also days in between those five days where the value went up ,down and back up again. It’s only in the last couple of days that it has been trending down consecutively. I’m assuming that it might lose about 5% to 10% of its current value by the time it releases officially. So we can expect the Jordan 5 Oregon to have a resale value within the $275< Resale Value < $300
Folks can expect their profit margins to fall within the $15 < profit < $34. So I’ll let you go ahead and decide whether this is a great investment or not.
Now let’s take a look at the most lucrative sizes
sizes 7 and 15 recorded the highest returns, and that’s because these sizes are hard to come by. Most sizes have a current resale value within the ( $320-$360) range but as explained earlier, we can expect this value to drop by 5% to 10% by the time the shoe officially releases. I certainly wouldn’t encourage folks to buy these shoes for resale purposes. The Jordan 5 Oregon will definitely sell out instantly via retail though, but don’t expect to hit any home runs with it.
- Release Date:09-12-2020
- Style Code:CK6631-307
- Color:Apple Green / Black / Yellow Strike / Black
- Air Jordan 5 Oregon Apple Green
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