The Air Jordan 1 University Blue is set to release officially on March the 6th and retails for $170. I shared a post a couple of weeks ago to warn you about the fake pairs that have hit the market, see link below
Today we’ll be discussing the number of pairs that could be possibly released and their current resale value. Our first step is always getting a count of the stockists that have been allocated an inventory of the shoe beside Nike.
Now the next step is establishing our assumptions. I did some quick checking and noticed that about 70% of the footlocker stores were receiving the shoes. For Champs and Footaction, I’m going to assume that only 60% of the total number of stores will carry the Jordan 1 University Blue.
We’ll go with the following:
- FTL, FTA & Champs will receive 40% of the total inventory
- The remaining major & minor retailers will receive the remaining 40% and Nike gets the other 20%
- 70% FTL, 60% of FTA and Champs stores will be allocated, that is 700 FTL stores, 126 FTA and 328Champs
- We also need to add that all HOH ( House of Hoops will receive the shoe), that is 170 HOH’s
We’ll also add the following assumptions:
- Each HOH will receive about 48 pairs, while FTL gets 12, FTA and Champs will be assigned 12 pairs per store
- FTL , FTA and Champs online stores will receive about a 1/3 of the total the physical stores are receiving
- Eastbay will also receive another 1/4 from the total FTL, FTA and Champs online are receiving.
Running The Numbers
FTL= 530 x 12= 6360 pairs
HOH = 170 x48=8160 pairs
FTA Physical stores=126×12= 1512 pairs
Champs Physical stores= 328x 12= 3936 pairs
Online allocation ( FTL + FTA + Champs)= (6360+8160+1512+3936)) x (1/3)=6656 pairs
Eastbay= 6656/4=1664 pairs
Total from FTL, FTA, Champs and Eastbay = (19968+ 6656)+(1664)) pairs =28288 pairs
We established that this number represented about 40% of North America’s total production hence
Total production for the USA is = (28288 )+ (28288) +(28288/2)=70,720 pairs
And for the overall global production of the University Blue Air Jordan 1 , we’ll assume that 70,000 pairs < Total production < 140,000 pairs
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Now let’s talk about the resale value
The chart above gives you a breakdown of the average resale value of the University Blue 1 by size. You can clearly see that sizes 6.5 and 14 recorded the highest returns ranging from $550 to $821, almost unbelievable that someone would fork out $821 for this shoe. All the other sizes have returns ranging between $456 and $509. The average resale value for sizes 7-13 is $485 and I expect these numbers to remain steady and eventually go further up 30 days post release date. Let me give you another chart of the profit margins per size.
You can pretty much decide what sizes to aim for if you’re a reseller.
Product Information/ Buy It Now
Air Jordan 1 University Blue
- Release Date: 2021-03-06
- Style Code:555088-134
- Color:White / University Blue / Black
You can buy it now on eBay from our featured sellers via authenticity guaranteed, CLICK HERE
img via nike