The Air Jordan 1 High OG Hyper Royal is releasing this coming Saturday April the 17th and it is a highly coveted shoe. I wanted to try to come up with an estimate of the possible number of pairs made this morning. As you all know our very first step is always getting a count of the major, minor retailers and boutiques getting an inventory. So beside Nike, these are the confirmed locations I came up with.
Now the hardest part about this process is always setting up our assumptions. When I was checking the FLX app, I realized that only GS sizes were showing up. And the only conclusion I can make is that Footlocker and Champs haven’t received the totality of the men’s sizes just yet, or they haven’t received them at all. These are going to be late shipments and I won’t be surprised if the physical locations just randomly put the shoes for sale. We know that the same stores that are receiving the kids sizes will also receive the men’s so we can create our assumptions based on that.
- Footlocker, Champs and Eastbay will receive about 30% of the entire inventory for North America
- About 131 out of 1000 FTL physical stores were allocated and only about 20 out of 547 Champs will receive an inventory
- FTL, Champs online will receive about 1/2 of the inventory the physical stores are getting
- Eastbay will receive 1/3 of the total FTL and Champs online are getting
- We’ll assign about 70 pairs per Footlocker and 48 per champs location
Now let’s run our numbers:
Footlocker ( physical stores)= 131 x 70= 9170 pairs
Champs ( physical stores)= 20 x 48= 960 pairs
(FTL + Champs )online= (9170+ 960)/2= 5065 pairs
Eastbay= (5065)/3= 1689 pairs
Total for Footlocker and its derivatives: (9170+ 960+ 5065+1689)= 16884 let us stretch this number to 18, 000 pairs because of possible errors in the assumption.
We said at the outset that Footlocker, Champs and Eastbay will receive about 30% of the entire inventory. Based on this , we can conclude that the total number of pairs of the Jordan 1 High OG Hyper Royal produced for the USA is:
Grand Total (USA)= (18,000) x 3+ (18,000/3)=60,000 pairs
and the worldwide production will be anywhere 60,000 pairs < Global Number of pairs produced< 150,000 pairs
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Now let’s talk about the resale value
Air Jordan 1 Hyper Royal Resale Value
The chart above gives you a breakdown of the average resale value of the Hyper Royal 1 by day since Saturday April the 10th. I’m just going to cut the Gordian knot and assert confidently that the shoe will have an average resale value within the $480-$500 price range. Let’s also check out the resale value by size.
You can pretty much see what sizes to aim for based on the chart above. Smaller sizes yield to the highest margins but most sizes are just as good. The shoe is certainly going to be extremely hard to get. I calculated the regression line to help with estimating the resale value by Saturday and came up with the following equation:
Price= -$4.9 ( Time elapsed since april 10th) + $505.1
Based on this equation we can project that by Saturday April the 17th, the Jordan 1 hyper royal will resell for:
P= -$4.9 (7)+ $505.1= $471
PS: I believe the shoe will begin to gain in value a couple of weeks after it releases, so this model will not last too long.
Product Information/ Buy It Now
Air Jordan 1 High OG Hyper Royal
- Release Date: 2021-04-17
- Style Code:555088-402
- Color:Hyper Royal / Light Smoke Grey / White
You can buy it now on eBay from our featured sellers via authenticity guaranteed, CLICK HERE