The Air Jordan 1 A Ma Maniere is set to release officially on November the 24th, that is a Wednesday via A Ma Maniere. But other locations are going to release it on 12/3/2021. The shoe’s retail price is set at $200. If you are a sneakerhead, then chances are that the Jordan 1 is one of your favorite shoes. It’s always been a popular shoe for collectors. With so many different styles, colors, and variations of the air Jordan 1 being released each month, it can be hard to keep track of them all! But that doesn’t happen with coveted iterations like the Jordan 1 A Ma Maniere. In today’s post, I’ll attempt to come up with a plausible estimate of the possible number of pairs made; we’ll also discuss the shoe’s current resale value. But first, let’s get a quick count of then stockists allocated an inventory.
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The hardest part about this process is figuring out the number of pairs per store allocated. This shoe appears very limited, so we’ll build our assumptions based on that. Beside Nike US, no other international Nike stores is getting the shoe, so we’ll have to build around that.
- We’ll give Nike US about 40% of the total inventory
- We’ll give the international locations about 40% as well
- And the other retailers can split the rest
For the distribution of sizes, we’ll go with the following sizes 4 up to 14 and let’s assume that sizes 3.5, 4-5, 11.5,12.5 will be more limited.
sizes 4,4.5 (90 pairs each), sizes5,5.5(220 pairs each) size 6(220),sizes6.5,7 ( 440 pairs each), size 7.5,8,8.5 ( 450 pairs each), sizes 9(1200),Size 9.5(440), sizes 10,10.5 (1200 pairs each), size 11 (1200 pairs), size 11.5 ( 440), size 12 (3200 pairs), size 12.5 ( 60 pairs) sizes 13(720),14 (120pairs each).
Nike US projected stock numbers= (90+90 + 220+220 + 220 +440+440+450+450+450+1200+440+1200+1200+1200+440+3200+60+720+120)= 12850 pairs let say 13,000 pairs
We assumed at the outset that this number represented about 40% of the total inventory,
Total inventory= (13,000)+ (13,000)+(13,000/2)32,500 et say 33,000 pairs
I believe the total number of pairs of the A Ma Maniere Jordan 1 produced will be somewhere between 15,000 pairs to 35,000 pairs
PS: As you all know, I always have to add this disclaimer because every single projection that I make is purely based on assumptions that I have set. It is meant to give you an idea of what to expect, I don’t work any of these brands/retailers I mentioned and have no access to their numbers. I’m only using what is available to create plausible assumptions.
Be sure to check the post below in which I show you how to identify the Fake Jordan 1 A Ma Maniere
Now let’s talk about how the shoe is doing on third party marketplaces.
The chart above shows you a breakdown of the average resale value of the shoe per day between Nov 19 and 22. The shoe has been trending down based on the data and the equation that best captures the data is linear, Resale value= -$24.1 (t) + $571. So based on the equation, the average sale price of the shoe on third party marketplaces will be:
Value= -$24.1 ( 5) +$574= $453.5
There certainly will be a model breakdown at some point, so the overall projected value will be somewhere between $400 and $450.
Let’s also look at the sizes with the highest margins
You can pretty much see what sizes to aim for.
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