Nike is preparing us for a tsunami of sneakers this week end and interestingly all of the marquee retros scheduled for thus upcoming Saturday are going to sell out via retailers. I was asked to come up with an estimate of the number pairs of the Air Jordan 1 Rookie Of The Year produced; I’ll attempt to do that now and also come up with a linear regression equation for the upcoming Jordan 1 Retros. I wrote a post about the number of pairs of the Pine Green Jordan 1 produced a couple of months ago and came up with a total of 60,000 pairs. A quick look at the Footlocker launch locator showed me that the number of pairs of the Rookie 1’s and the Pine Green 1’s are similar via Footlocker and its derivatives. So all I have to do now is come up with some assumptions and take it from there. Before I start, I want to also inform you that minor retailers are also given the shoes and I received a bit of intel from a manager that told me that his store was allocated about 9 pairs. Let’s consider the following assumptions:
.Footlocker, FTA, will receive about 1/3 of the entire inventory ( Eastbay and Champs received nothing)
.Their online locations will receive about half the inventory the stores are getting
.Each physical location will receive an average of 18 pairs ( 18 to be fair because certain locations may get 70+)
About 300-370( an average of 335) FTL stores will be given an inventory ( all HOH included plus select other FTL stores), 270 FTA stores will also be considered.
FTL numbers= 335 x 18=6030 and FTA = 270 x 18=4860 Now let’s estimate the online stores’s numbers,
(FTL + FTA )online = (6030+4860)/2=5445
and the Total from Footlocker & derivatives = 6030+ 4860 + 5445=16335
And the Grand Total would be = 16335 x 3=49,000 pairs or let say 50,000
MARKET VALUE
I didn’t feel the need to go on eBay and the shoes have a current market value of $308 on StockX, see screenshot below
You can buy the Air Jordan 1 Rookie of the year from the legitimate stores and eBay sellers in the listings below
PURCHASE LINK FOOTLOCKER-LIVE NOV 17
PURCHASE LINK KICKSUSA- LIVE NOV 17
