I’m going to get straight to the point in most of my posts starting today so if they appear abrasive don’t be surprised. I wrote a post about a week ago warning folks about the replica pair of the Jordan 11 navy low snakeskin, so if you missed it, check the link below
This morning task is to come up with a believable estimate of the number of pairs made. I did a bit of scouting in the past few days and most major and minor retailers have the shoes listed on their calendar. It isn’t a surprise if you consider Nike’s Edit To Amplify campaign along with the fact that the Jordan 11 silhouette ( usually the high tops) are the most coveted ones in sneaker world. I’ll consider the following assumptions:
- Footlocker and its derivatives will receive about 1/4 of the total inventory
- Each physical FTL receives 18 pairs, FTA and Champs probably 12 pairs
- And their online counterparts ( Eastbay included) will receive about a quarter of the inventory the physical locations will be allocated.
- North America has a little over 1000 active Footlocker stores, 547 Champs stores and 270 Footaction stores and those are the ones that will be considered.
Physical Stores: Footlocker ( 1000 x 18) + Champs ( 570 x 12) + Footaction (270 x 12)= 28080 pairs
Online allocations: A quarter of the total number 28080/4=7020
let’s not forget give Eastbay a 1/4 of the total from the FTL,FTA, Champs online combined
So the Total from Footlocker and derivatives =28080 +7020+1755 =36855
And now the Grand total is based on our earlier assumptions: 36855 x4=147420
PS:I always want to point out that all these predictions are purely based on assumptions in other words, everything I said here was birthed out of my own subjective assertions.
MARKET VALUE & SHOULD YOU BUY TO FLIP?
I always take to eBay first to check for the market value of the shoe being analyzed but we all know that with the advent of newer marketplaces like GOAT and StockX, there has been a clear obvious shift in the market when it comes to hyped sneakers. I already wrote about it, see link below
I just want to point that out at the outset; as of April the 17th, I collected the follwing data via eBay:
$257.99 x 5 pairs sold
$240 x 23 pairs sold
$250 x 27 sold
$285 x 3 pairs sold
$280 x 7 pairs sold
Based on the numbers above the current market value via eBay is $251.92 ( that is a 28.46% mark up). I didn’t take into consideration eBay, paypal and shipping fees. Larger sizes ( 12-14) sold for $280+ and that makes perfect sense.
StockX’s current average sale price is $232 for a 18.9% mark up.
In conclusion, the Jordan 11 snakeskin low will definitely be a bonus for retailers.
WHERE TO BUY?
- DTLR Might Be Experiencing A Surge In Sales Or May Be Not? - September 27, 2020
- How To Quickly Spot The Fake What The Air Jordan 5, eBay Is Already Polluted With Fake Pairs - September 24, 2020
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